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2026
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China's Homegrown Electric Vehicles Break Through Against the Tide: 88% Growth in 2026 Opening, Global Layout Reshapes Industry Pattern
Latest data released by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) shows that China's new energy vehicle (NEV) exports reached 670,000 units in January-February 2026, surging 88% year-on-year. Homegrown electric vehicles (EVs) contributed the core growth, with battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) accounting for 28% and 15% of total NEV exports respectively, continuing the high-speed growth momentum since 2024. Behind this achievement lies the strategic transformation of China's homegrown EVs from "scale expansion" to "quality deepening," as overseas market layout, improved policy systems, and technological innovation form a triple driving force, reshaping the global automotive industry competition pattern.
Dual Growth in Scale and Structure, PHEVs Emerge as New Growth Engine
China's homegrown EV exports have maintained positive growth for five consecutive years, with 1.284 million NEVs exported in 2024 and total exports exceeding 2 million units in 2025. The opening of 2026 has witnessed a leapfrog growth. Notably, profound changes are taking place in the export structure: BEV growth has slowed to single digits, while PHEVs have become the new growth engine. In Q1 2025, PHEV exports reached 149,000 units, skyrocketing 154.5% year-on-year. This momentum has continued to strengthen in 2026, with PHEVs accounting for 15% of NEV exports in January-February. Among them, plug-in hybrid pickup trucks have become a highlight in commercial vehicle exports.
The upward shift in price bands further reflects the effectiveness of industrial upgrading. The share of the 100,000-200,000 RMB mainstream price segment has jumped from 38% in 2020 to 55% in 2024. Mid-to-high-end models such as BYD Seal and Chery Tiggo 8 PRO have achieved both volume and price growth in overseas markets, breaking the traditional perception of Chinese automobiles as "low-cost products."
Global Market Flourishes on Multiple Fronts, Regional Layout Continues Optimization
Homegrown EV exports have formed a pattern of "booming emerging markets and breakthroughs in mature markets." In January-February 2026, Brazil became China's largest NEV export market with 78,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 62,500 units. After the commissioning of BYD's Bahia plant in Brazil, the market share of locally produced models has reached 9.7%. Russia, the United Arab Emirates, and the United Kingdom follow closely, entering the top 10 export destination list. Among them, exports to the UK reached 52,500 units, a year-on-year increase of nearly 200%.
In the European market, despite facing a 38.1% tariff barrier, Chinese automakers have achieved breakthroughs through localized production. BYD's Hungary plant and NIO's Pécs battery swap base have been successively put into operation. In January-February 2026, exports to Germany reached 24,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 180%. PHEVs, leveraging technological advantages to avoid tariff restrictions, have become the main growth driver in the European market. In the Southeast Asian market, relying on the Rayong industrial cluster, BYD holds a 40.5% market share with 115 sales outlets, making Thailand and Indonesia regional export hubs.
Precise Policy Regulation, Laying a Solid Foundation for High-Quality Development
The implementation of the export license system for battery electric passenger vehicles on January 1, 2026, has become a crucial turning point for the industry. This policy explicitly requires export enterprises to have more than 50 after-sales service outlets overseas and an annual export volume exceeding 10,000 units, effectively curbing irregularities such as "0-kilometer used cars" being passed off as new vehicles for export. Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the CPCA, stated that the license system selects high-quality entities, avoids low-price internal competition in overseas markets, and significantly enhances the international image of Chinese brands.
The policy support system continues to improve. The Ministry of Commerce and 8 other departments jointly issued the "Opinions on Supporting the Healthy Development of New Energy Vehicle Trade Cooperation," constructing a guarantee system covering 18 aspects including financial support, logistics optimization, and standard mutual recognition. The capacity of China-Europe Railway Express "automobile special trains" has increased to 30% of the total, reducing the logistics cost per vehicle by 18%. The ro-ro throughput of Shanghai Port has risen to the world's first, providing solid support for exports.
Enterprises Accelerate Globalization, Driven by Both Technology and Services
Leading automakers have become the main force in exports. BYD exported 433,000 units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 71.8%. Its overseas plants have covered key markets such as Thailand, Brazil, and Hungary, with products entering 100 countries and regions worldwide. Chery, relying on its dual-base advantages in Russia and Brazil, has maintained the top position in Chinese brand exports for 21 consecutive years, with exports reaching 780,000 units in 2024. Leapmotor has laid out 900 sales and service outlets in 40 countries and will focus on expanding into blank areas in Europe and the South American market in 2026.
Technology export and localized services have become core competencies. BYD has authorized Toyota to use its e-Platform 3.0, and its Blade Battery has secured a fixed-point procurement contract with Mercedes-Benz. NIO has built a battery swap network in Europe with higher density than Tesla, successfully replicating its NIO House user operation model. Great Wall Motors launched the "Ramadan Model" in the Middle Eastern market, enhancing user experience through cultural adaptation. These innovative practices have promoted the transformation of China's homegrown EVs from "product export" to "ecosystem export."
Coexisting Challenges and Opportunities, Broad Growth Space Ahead
Despite the strong export momentum, the industry still faces multiple challenges: the EU carbon tariff increases the cost per vehicle by 5,000 RMB, anti-dumping investigations in Mexico continue to ferment, and the battery export tax rebate rate will drop to 6% in 2026. However, in the long run, the demand dividend brought by global low-carbon transformation, as well as the technological accumulation and production capacity advantages of Chinese automakers, will continue to support the industry's sustained growth.
According to the forecast of Gasgoo Automotive Research Institute, China's passenger vehicle exports will reach 5.3 million units in 2025 and are expected to exceed 7 million units by 2030. As Southeast Asia and North America become major growth markets and PHEVs continue to boom, China's homegrown EVs, with technological innovation as the core and localized layout as the support, are occupying a dominant position in the global automotive industry transformation, taking solid steps from an "automotive power" to a "automotive superpower."
